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Posted at 1:45 PM EST. 

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Oregon +6½ over Utah Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, CA

8:00 PM EST. Before the season started, many publications had the Oregon Ducks as the team to beat in the Pac 12 Conference. They were also projected by those same publications to earn a College Football Playoff bid up until as recent as a couple of weeks ago. Then, the Quack Attack would stumble on the road against the Arizona State Red Devils on November 23rd. As a 13-point choice, the Ducks would be shocked 31-28 and be served up as the first episode of chaos to send ripples across the college football landscape. With Oregon’s CFP hopes evaporating in the desert, any semblance of market credibility vanished into the night along with it. The market has more or less jumped ship on Oregon since then and has characterized them as a team that is looking to get their season over with after seeing their national championship aspirations diminish. In their follow up to the ASU shocker, Oregon would appear flat against arch rival Oregon State in the Civil War and slither by the Beavers 24-10 failing to cover as a -20½-point favorite. The Ducks typically score 35.8 points per match (16th in the FBS) and accumulate 455.1 total yards of offense per contest (24th in America). Against Oregon State, the Ducks looked pedestrian, as they were edged out by the Beavers in total offense (380 – 365) and failed to create any real separation from their counterparts. That rivalry game was separated by one score until a touchdown put the Ducks up 14 with two minutes to go in regulation. With seemingly beleaguered outings in back-to-back last weeks, the Ducks stock is low and the market’s perception is that they look prime for the plucking against the red-hot Utes.

Unlike Oregon, Utah’s market credibility and presence have reached a new summit. Not only are the Utes looking at their first ever Pac 12 Championship but they are in the running to steal a College Football Playoff berth if they can win against Oregon and get help. The Utes are on an eight-game win and cover streak and the media is talking them up like never before. This team has become an overnight sensation and the market is eating up what the media is selling.

The line for this contest opened at various starting numbers but has quickly accelerated to where it sits now. We assure you that the dust has settled surrounding the Ducks and they’ll show up in both body and spirit. The Ducks can salvage their season with a win over a top-five outfit here to earn a conference title and punch their way to Pasadena for a Rose Bowl berth where they can get their hands on another high-profile outfit. While this is not a CFP appearance, it is still excellent trinkets for the Ducks to get their beak into. Previous to their loss against Arizona State, Oregon had rampaged through the Pac-12 and pretty much everything it came across by winning nine straight after losing its season opener in Arlington, Texas against the Auburn Tigers. In the aforementioned contest, Oregon held a 15-point lead before losing in the final 10 seconds of regulation. In retrospect, the manner in which the Ducks controlled the game for most stages is all the more impressive considering Auburn just beat Alabama in the Iron Bowl. However, one thing remains certain, the Ducks stock took a big hit and as a result, we get the opportunity to snag them at an equitable price in a very fair fight. Oregon can win this game outright and we’ll throw them in some money line parlays just in case they do but taking back inflated points is where our bet will land.

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