Today's Free Picks for
Posted on July 25
Texas A&M under 7½ +120
We’re not sure where the Aggies are going to find eight wins. It actually seems extremely unreasonable to us to expect eight wins even if the Aggies were to be healthy the entire season. For one, their schedule is brutal and secondly, the SEC is stacked from top to bottom. Most power conferences have two or three very good teams with the second-tier teams being very average or below. Not the SEC. The SEC has seven great teams and one could even suggest that the conference is eight deep. The win total here is inflated because Jimbo Fisher is in his second year after winning eight times in his first year. Dude has pedigree coming out of his rear end. We now get to take big advantage of a mostly ill-informed market that is getting behind this program and Fisher one year too early.
Indeed Jimbo Fisher is a great recruiter. Thing is, his best recruits aren’t even playing yet. Fisher has had only two recruiting classes. Furthermore, have you seen the Aggies schedule? In the first four weeks, they have two easy games against Lamar and Texas State but they also play at Clemson in Week 2 and host Auburn in Week 4. The Aggies also play Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, South Carolina and Arkansas. Arguably, the Aggies will play the three best teams in the country when they play Alabama, Clemson and Georgia. There are a couple of trap games in this exhausting schedule too. Surely, with a schedule like that and intensity so high, A&M will suffer some key injuries. Texas A&M has one starter on offense that’s a senior in a conference that is stacked and now they’re being asked to win eight of 12 games to beat us? Man, does this wager ever look good. Go under.
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Texas A&M under 7½ +120 (Risking 3 units - To Win: 3.60)