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Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

12:00 PM EST. Vanderbilt’s best game of the season was not two weeks ago when they put up 45 points against Arkansas in a 45-31 win but way back in Week 3 when they went into South Bend and somehow gave the Irish a scare in a 22-17 loss. The Irish brought their “C” game that week but the close call gave the Commodores some credibility. The very next week, Vandy would host South Carolina and lose 37-14. The program’s only other win besides their last game win against the 0-5 in the conference Razorbacks was a out-of-conference victory over Tennessee State. Vanderbilt has proven to be untrustworthy in these types of spots not just this year but for many, many years. They are a mistake waiting to happen and those mistakes should be on full display here, as the forecast of it being one of the coldest temperatures on record for a football game at Missouri (28 degrees Fahrenheit), does not play well for a careless squad like the ‘Dores. Vandy’s four wins are against weak competition and two of those came in the first two weeks of the season. They are also off a bye week.

Mizzou is 1-4 in the conference but a win here and they will earn a Bowl berth so it’s a big one. Normally, we’re not in favor of betting a team coming off a big win, as the Tigers crushed #11 Florida last week but we’re trusting that the Tigers are still underpriced because of their conference record. Vanderbilt really is that that bad. Missouri’s four conference losses occurred against Alabama, South Carolina by two points, Georgia and Kentucky by just one point, 15-14. Three of those four are ranked and Mizzou could have won two of them. The Tigers played nose to nose with the Crimson Tide for three quarters and held them to a mere nine points in the second half in perfect weather conditions. All the Tigers needed was a little confidence, and now it's found just that with a 38-17 win at Florida. Drew Lock is playing his best ball and the offense is peaking with the return of top wideout Emanuel Hall, as well as the involvement of so many playmakers at both running back and receiver. The schedule to date is full of good wins and reasonable losses, but Missouri will be favored in every game the rest of the way. That's how we like it, as Barry Odom is a cool 8-1 ATS when the oddsmakers say he has the best team by double digits, with the only such loss a 72-43 win over Missouri State as five-touchdown chalk in the 2017 season opener. Mizzou is without question the best 1-4 in conference team in the country and we highly doubt that the Commodores will stay within three TD’s here.

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