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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Marquette +145 over Georgetown

7:00 PM EST There’s clear value backing Marquette in this rematch against Georgetown Hoyas, especially when you look beyond the final score of the first meeting. Georgetown’s 78-69 win came on the back of two extended runs that flipped what had been a tightly contested game. Outside of those momentum bursts, Marquette largely controlled tempo and created quality looks. That kind of game script is difficult to replicate, particularly against a team familiar with what went wrong. Revenge spots in conference play tend to carry added urgency, and with Marquette still trying to climb in the Big East standings, this sets up as a focused effort rather than a repeat letdown.

The underlying numbers also suggest the gap between these teams isn’t as wide as public perception may think. Marquette scores 75.7 points per game and shoots 43.6% from the field — slightly better than what Georgetown typically allows. Meanwhile, the Golden Eagles’ defensive issues are real, but Georgetown’s offense hasn’t consistently proven capable of capitalizing. The Hoyas average 74.7 points overall but have struggled for long stretches in conference play, going 4-11 in the league since that first win over Marquette. Their three-point production is modest, and while they rebound adequately, they don’t dominate the glass in a way that creates a clear matchup edge. If this becomes a possession-for-possession game late, Marquette’s perimeter shooting volume and playmaking give them the higher offensive ceiling.

Situationally, this is also a strong bounce-back opportunity for the Golden Eagles. After dropping their Big East opener and falling short against St. John's Red Storm despite a 25-point effort from Nigel James Jr., Marquette has every incentive to respond. Georgetown has been far more productive at home than on the road, but its recent form — 4-6 over the last 10 games with barely a positive scoring margin — shows vulnerability. Marquette’s ability to stretch the floor with over eight made threes per game and generate offense through multiple scorers creates more paths to victory. With motivation, offensive upside, and regression factors working in its favor, backing Marquette to win outright presents the stronger value angle in this conference matchup.

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