Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
MD Eastern Shore +120 over Norfolk St.
7:00 PM EST Backing Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks in this matchup is less about their overall record and more about situational value. On paper, Norfolk State’s offensive numbers jump off the page, but the market tends to price those surface stats aggressively. Maryland Eastern Shore has been far more competitive than its record suggests, dropping several recent conference games by single digits. When a team consistently plays tight games yet remains undervalued because of its win-loss mark, that’s often where betting value hides.
While Norfolk State Spartans average nearly 76 points per game, they’ve also shown defensive lapses and inconsistency, particularly when forced into half-court sets. MEAC games tend to tighten up, and familiarity reduces the talent gap. Maryland Eastern Shore doesn’t score at a high volume, but they are efficient inside and rebound well enough to prevent second-chance avalanches. If they can control tempo and limit transition buckets, this game profiles as far more competitive than the standings indicate.
From a value standpoint, this is a classic buy-low spot. Public bettors gravitate toward the higher-scoring home team, especially when recent results lean in their favor. But conference rematches often turn into grind-it-out affairs where possessions matter and execution late decides outcomes. Maryland Eastern Shore has shown it can hang around, and if this becomes a one- or two-possession game in the final minutes, the edge shifts to the side catching points — or in this case, offering plus-money upside on the moneyline. In a matchup that’s likely tighter than perception suggests, the Hawks present the sharper value angle tonight
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Our Pick
MD Eastern Shore +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)
