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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Manhattan +100 over Niagara 

6:30 PM EST Manhattan comes into this MAAC matchup with more offensive upside than Niagara, and that’s where the betting value begins. While the Jaspers haven’t been consistent this season, they’ve shown they can generate points in stretches, averaging over 75 per game compared to Niagara’s 62.8. When Manhattan is able to get into the 70s, they become far more competitive because they can lean on scoring balance behind Jaden Winston and Devin Dinkins. Their ability to get to the free-throw line and convert at an 80% clip is another quiet edge, especially in conference games that tend to tighten late. In contrast, Niagara’s offense has struggled to consistently create quality looks, which limits their margin for error.

Niagara’s recent form also raises concerns. They’ve dropped eight of their last ten games and are averaging just over 61 points during that span. Even in competitive efforts, they’ve had trouble sustaining offense for a full 40 minutes. Their home record isn’t strong enough to offset that limitation, and they’ve struggled in close games all season. Manhattan’s defense has been inconsistent overall, but Niagara’s lower-scoring profile reduces the likelihood that the Purple Eagles can fully exploit that weakness. If this turns into a game played in the low 60s or high 60s, Manhattan’s superior scoring options become even more important.

From a value perspective, Manhattan offers the stronger side because they bring the higher offensive ceiling into a matchup against a team that has difficulty keeping pace. The Jaspers are coming off a confidence-building win in which they locked down defensively in the second half, and that momentum matters in conference play. If Manhattan can simply play to its season averages offensively and avoid prolonged scoring droughts, Niagara will be forced out of its comfort zone. With better free-throw shooting, more proven scoring threats, and a recent uptick in defensive effort, Manhattan is positioned to secure the win tonight.

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