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Cornell @ TOWSON
#798 Cornell +126 over TOWSON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +126 BET 365 +125 SportsInteraction +120 5DIMES +125

Posted at 1:00 PM EST.

7:00 PM EST. Following six straight losing seasons under Bill Courtney, Cornell turned the team over to Princeton man Brian Earl in the summer of 2016. The Tigers have largely been the league’s model of success over the last decade, finishing above .500 in Ivy play for nine straight years from 2009 to 2017. Earl has struggled to bring that success with him, though, as Cornell is a combined 27-45 since his arrival. The Big Red has very little market credibility these days but what they do have is the best player on the court by a country mile. Matt Morgan is the Big Red Bomber who carries a massive offensive load. Somehow, though, he maintains excellent offensive efficiency despite this burden using a blend of drives and pull-ups to keep defenses off-balance. His impact is crystal clear in the numbers – the Big Red offense dives into the red when he’s off the court. A strong group of newcomers surround Matt Morgan and we like this spot for the Big Red too. Cornell will open up conference play next game up so this is the team’s final tuneup before that occurs. Big Red has a nice 8-point loss to Syracuse and they also played UConn and lost by 17 but this is more a fade on the host.

Like the NBA, the college game is also changing, as teams search for and recruit those great shooters that can hit triples. That’s what the NBA wants and it trickles down from there. In the NHL, for instance, the league has gotten rid of goons and tough guys, as speed, playmaking and talent have pushed out the former. However, there are still old-school coaches that fail to embrace change and try and win playing the “way it used to be”. Most of those coaches last a year or less no matter the sport and that brings us to the Towson Tigers.

Tigers Coach, Pat Skerry, is a disciple of Jim Baron, Tom Herrion, and Keno Davis, all of whom greatly valued physical play and/or the offensive glass. Skerry has cranked that style to the max, selling out for second chance points while completely ignoring the three-point line. His teams want to beat you up inside physically, using an onslaught of big bodies to eventually foul out opponents or wear them down and rack up second chance points. How’s it working out? Playing the 283rd ranked SOS, Towson is 5-11 and most of the losses were by double digits to bad teams. Their five wins have come against Division III Wesley, UMBC, Loyola Maryland, Tulane and Elon (Note: you may want to start fading Tulane).

There is nothing good about Skerry’s style, as the backcourt is devalued in his system. Skerry also has some major holes to plug following the graduation or transfer of nearly every significant piece. The Towson Tigers are great fade material but are favored here because on paper, Cornell doesn’t have much appeal with a 7-8 record and that works to our benefit in a big way. Keep the points. Big Red outright.

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Our Pick

#798 Cornell +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

 

 

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