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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Winnipeg +4½ -110 over Edmonton

9:30 PM EST. We are taking Winnipeg with the points tonight, and this is exactly the type of divisional matchup where we are willing to take the underdog cushion. Edmonton has been playing with confidence and will get plenty of attention after its recent performance, but that is precisely the type of situation where we prefer to step away from the obvious side. The Elks may be improved, but asking them to separate from a Winnipeg team that has plenty of experience in these situations is a different proposition.

Winnipeg is not a team we want to dismiss simply because Edmonton has been generating plenty of excitement. The Bombers have enough balance on both sides of the football to make this a difficult matchup, and their ability to play a physical, disciplined style travels well. This should be a game decided in the trenches, with both teams forced to earn their yards rather than simply moving the ball uncontested. That works in our favour with the points in our pocket.

The other reason we trust Winnipeg is the nature of the spot. Divisional games tend to bring out a different level of intensity, and we expect the Bombers to be fully engaged from the opening whistle. Edmonton has improved, but improvement does not automatically translate into being able to pull away from a veteran opponent. We expect Winnipeg to keep this competitive throughout and put pressure on Edmonton late rather than allowing the Elks to dictate the entire game.

Winnipeg plus the points is the play. Edmonton may have enough to win on its home field, but we trust the Bombers have more than enough to stay within the number. We are taking the points, trusting Winnipeg's physical approach and expecting this divisional battle to be decided by a possession or less.

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