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Anaheim +115 over Florida
8:00 PM EST. We're going to continue backing the Ducks as home underdogs until the market makes the proper adjustment. Anaheim went...
N.Y. Jets +3½ -110 over Chicago
1:00 PM EST. Welcome to the NFL zigzag, where everybody swears they'll never overreact to one game and then immediately overreacts ...
Cincinnati -2½ -110 over Jacksonville
1:00 PM EST. Three weeks into an NFL season is just about the perfect time for the market to start believing it knows something. Jacksonville...
Miami +10 -110 over Minnesota
1:00 PM EST. Do you really want to be holding a Minnesota ?10½ ticket when it's 9-3 in the fourth quarter? Hell, we're not even ...
Tampa Bay +145 over Green Bay
1:00 PM EST. Man, what a matchup. If you've been betting Green Bay this year, you're probably not in any hurry to get...
Las Vegas +4½ -110 over Kansas City
4:25 PM EST. Both of these teams have seen their stock soar through three weeks, and both are 3-0 straight up and against the spread...
Early leans & analysis
NFL Week: 4 What you see below is our early leans. Many of the selections below will stay the same and some will be move...
Reader's Comments
Sep 28, 2026 13:28:08
While I love your contrarian viewpoint, IMHO, you overdue it sometime. Just because the public likes something, it doesn't automatically mean that it is wrong. If you want to say there is extra value on the underdog, because the public is overplaying the favorite, that is valid. But being on a public choice doesn't make it loser if all your analysis points that way. Sometimes you take the opposite of what your logic and analysis tells you because "it's too good to be true". Is it always?
Joe P.
Sep 20, 2026 09:55:23
Quite a year thus far! Keep up the great work, it's much appreciated.
Ralph
Sep 8, 2026 20:45:59
3 for 3 on CFL again, good work!
Tom
