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Green Bay +104 over Chicago
1:00 PM EST. When was the last time the Chicago Bears walked into Lambeau Field as a favorite? You'd have to go all the ...
N.Y. Jets -2½ -110 over Cleveland
1:00 PM EST. Ladies and gentlemen, the Cleveland Browns bandwagon is officially accepting passengers. Get your tickets, ...
Washington -3½ -110 over NY Giants
1:00 PM EST. Stop the presses! The New York Giants are 3-1, and apparently we're supposed to be impressed. The Giants have...
New Orleans +130 over Minnesota
1:00 PM EST. If there's a more overvalued team in the NFL right now than the Minnesota Vikings, we'd love to know who it is....
Early leans & analysis
NFL Week: 5 What you see below is our early leans. Many of the selections below will stay the same and some will be move...
Reader's Comments
Sep 28, 2026 13:28:08
While I love your contrarian viewpoint, IMHO, you overdue it sometime. Just because the public likes something, it doesn't automatically mean that it is wrong. If you want to say there is extra value on the underdog, because the public is overplaying the favorite, that is valid. But being on a public choice doesn't make it loser if all your analysis points that way. Sometimes you take the opposite of what your logic and analysis tells you because "it's too good to be true". Is it always?
Joe P.
Sep 20, 2026 09:55:23
Quite a year thus far! Keep up the great work, it's much appreciated.
Ralph
Sep 8, 2026 20:45:59
3 for 3 on CFL again, good work!
Tom