Posted at 9:15 AM EST 

7:35 PM EST. OT included. The Panthers come in with a 3-3 record but they are not defeating the top teams. With losses to Washington, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay, the Panthers are just 1-3 against top-10 competition. It is early still and the Panthers are a tough out with a defense that is playing better than last year’s sound bunch but that doesn’t mean they deserve to be road chalk here.

We have no intentions whatsoever of bailing on the Maple Leafs. While the market mostly perceives the Leafs as an offensive squad with a rather weak defense, that is not the case at all. Toronto continues to lose games because of its shaky goaltending so if Fredrick Anderson can bounce back, Toronto is going to win plenty of games this year.Against Tampa Bay on Tuesday, a 7-3 loss, Toronto won 64% of the faceoffs, outshot the Bolts, 43-24 and lost 7-3. Give us the team that does that every night and we’ll point out the team with an extremely high win expectation. Toronto has outstanding metrics across the board except in goal. The Maple Leafs have created more high quality chances than any team in the NHL except the Rangers. They are also a top-5 defensive metric team. The Leafs are dominating so many areas but the results have not followed. Now the Maple Leafs come in with their stock much lower than it was after Auston Matthews scored four times. The market sees results and bets accordingly while we see a really strong team without the results yet.  

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