Posted Friday at 2:00 PM EST

4:25 EST.  The Chargers overcame a devastating injury to their star wide receiver and a fourth quarter collapse in Week 1 to totally obliterate the Jaguars 38-14 last Sunday. Philip Rivers did whatever he wanted to an overwhelmed Jags secondary while tossing four touchdown passes in the process. Rivers hasn't thrown a pick this season. It’s only two weeks in but he’s been sharp and so has his protection. Remember, Rivers had a great season a year ago with no protection but this year that line is healthy and looking good. They Bolts are an inch away from being 2-0 and maybe even closer to back-to-back blowout victories to open the year but the market hasn’t noticed. This week Rivers will take a crack at a Colts defense that ranks 29th after two weeks after giving up 424 yards of total offense per game. Injuries and issues off the field have overshadowed what the Chargers have done sideline to sideline this season. That's fine with us, as Rivers and crew are playing with a huge chip on their shoulders, which makes them even more dangerous. This is a very good team.

It's a new season but these are the same old Colts. As much as they want to believe Andrew Luck is the next “great one” we're not so sure. 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck played significantly better than Luck last season and while many note Luck playing hurt, his 28 picks in his last 23 games are a cause for concern. Yes, Luck is talented but he's a better fantasy football quarterback than he is in real life at this point. Besides, the Colts have done nothing to support their franchise pivot, as their weak offensive line might be worse than it was last year, which is actually hard to believe. Luck was on the run for his life last week in Denver, as he was sacked five times. It's not positive when your star QB is in danger of getting creamed on every snap. A three-point Colts’ win cashes a ticket here and a first glace that seems like a pretty good proposition. A short price like -2½ on a home favorite is a low percentage play that we do not recommend making. The odds makers could have made it -3 if they wanted equal action on the game but that ½ point taken off a key number like -3 to make it -2½ is enticing enough to get bettors to bite. In other words, beware of home favorites that are -2½

Lastly, the Colts have a very poor GM in Ryan Grigson and their supporting cast has not improved noticeably while San Diego’s has. The Colts are a mess and may be the most dubious favorite on the board this week. Chargers outright gets this call. 

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