N.Y. Yankees @ CHICAGO
CHICAGO +111 over N.Y. Yankees

BEST 5-inning LINES: Pinnacle +111  Betfair +108 Bet365 +105 SportsInteraction +100 

Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

Carlos Rodon is a future ace but his 4.09 ERA and 1.58 WHIP make him an extremely undervalued target. Rodon has some of the filthiest stuff in the league and it sure doesn’t hurt that he gets to watch and work with Chris Sale every day. Rodon has 83 K’s in 77 frames. He brings 94 mph heat with great life. His 13% swing and miss rate over his last eight starts is one of the best in the majors. Rodon has one hurdle to overcome and that’s his percentage of balls thrown. He has walked 44 batters and that’s the only reason for his high WHIP. When he doesn’t walk hitters he’s as difficult to score on as any pitcher in the game, as his 1.64 ERA in innings in which he doesn’t walk anyone will attest to. Rodon’s ceiling is massive.

Nathan Eovaldi sports an impressive 10-2 record in his first season in the Bronx, which might lead some to suspect he's become more than just the high-velocity hurler we've known for years. True or false? False. We’re still waiting for Eovaldi to figure it out. His low strikeout rate is a constant reminder that velocity (avg 96.1 mph) doesn't always equal strikeouts. Eovaldi’s swing and miss rate says he's producing whiffs at a league-average level. He's been particularly ineffective versus lefties, who own an .875 OPS against him. Despite an off-putting 4+ ERA and a horrendous 1.48 WHIP, Eovaldi has managed to skirt scrutiny because of the run support he's received (more than seven runs per game). This has padded his win total even though he's been generally ineffective in most of his starts (17%/33% dominant start/disaster start split). Cursed with a screaming fastball that lacks movement, players will continue to treat Eovaldi like a batting cage machine until he can provide more effective secondary offerings.

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Our Pick

CHICAGO +111 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.22)

Boston +121 over Cleveland
Chicago +113 over Houston
Seattle -1½ +137 over Texas