BEST LINE: Pinnacle

POSTED AT 6:25 PM EST.

The winds are blowing out to right center at 15 MPH at Globe Life Park, which are roughly the same conditions as last night’s 17-7 game. Game time temperature is 88 degrees and the warmer it is the further the ball carries. Colby Lewis has been victimized by a 42% hit rate against lefty bats, which is the highest hit rate vs. LHers in MLB. His overall skills remain underwhelming and at home, Lewis has surrendered 42 hits in 25.1 innings for a BAA of .378. Furthermore, Lewis is 1-3 at Globe Life with an ERA of 7.38 and he has a fly-ball bias profile of 41% fly-balls against just 34% grounders.

Tom Koehler’s 3.33 ERA after 12 starts is a complete illusion. A mediocre strikeout rate coupled with poor control rarely results in long-term success. Unfortunately, Koehler brings both to the table. Some major strand % luck (88%) has kept his ERA in check. Despite the strong surface stats we've seen from Koehler, there simply isn't much to get excited about from a skills perspective. His numbers have been propped up by some good luck, which makes this is a classic case of skills not supporting the stats. An unforgiving park like this one is tough on good pitchers with the winds blowing out. With hot temperatures and the winds blowing out on Koehler, this park may eat him alive.