BEST LINE: Pinnacle -1½ +133

Posted at 10:45 AM EST.

1:05 PM EST. Perhaps we missed an opportunity last night by not spotting the runs with the Blue Jays but we’re not going to miss it here. The Blue Jays’ 3-1 victory last night was a flattering score to the Cardinals, as Toronto had men on base every inning and they were a hit or two away from winning by five or six runs. The Jays also hit into a triple play on a line-drive with the bases jammed. The Blue Jays have now won five in a row and 20 of their past 24 games while the Cardinals have two victories over their last 10 games, one against Jason Vargas and the other against Yusmeiro Petit of the Giants. Over that 10-game stretch, St. Louis is batting .223 and has scored 30 runs and now they’ll have to deal with the crafty Mark Buehrle.

This wager is not based on Buehrle however. This one is based on the play of the scoring Blue Jays and their hot hitting lineup. Cardinals pitcher, Shelby Miller could not have picked a worse time to face the Blue Jays. Miller's poor strikeout and walk rates have caught up with him in his two most recent outings when the Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees tagged him for 11 earned runs in 10 innings. His luck with stranding runners in scoring position also ran out. As of now, Miller has the highest walk rate (12 percent) among starting pitchers and his strikeout-walk ratio (1.44) is the third worst. He's also allowing 1.31 home runs per nine innings and the Jays lead the majors with 89 jacks. Left-handed hitters have been doing plenty of damage against Miller as well, because he doesn't have an effective off-speed pitch to keep them from sitting on his fastball. Shelby Miller isn’t fooling anyone these days and his awful profile suggests a very early exit against this patient and potent lineup.