BEST LINE: Pinnacle +140

POSTED at 9:00 AM EST. 

4:10 PM EST. In 33 home games, the Rays have 11 wins. Against Randy Wolf in the opener of this series the Rays scored one run. Tampa got lucky last night with a couple of home-runs, a real rarity for them, but still lost 5-4 to run their losing streak to nine games. Prior to last night they had gone six straight games scoring two runs or less. Now Wil Myers is on the DL to add to their misery. The Rays are last in the AL East and they’re 13 games behind the Blue Jays. In other words, it’s early June and the Rays are out of it. Jake Odorizzi has great potential, as evidenced by his solid 11% swing and miss rate and his 63 K’s in 53 innings. However, Odorizzi walks too many batters, which has led to an unacceptable 1.54 WHIP and 5.13 ERA. He is constantly behind in the count and it’s also worth noting that his batted ball groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile is weak at 36%/24%/40%.

Against David Price, Chris Archer and Alex Cobb, arguably the best top three starters on the same team in the majors, the Marlins strung together some hits and ended up winning all three. Now Jacob Turner gets his turn to try and dominate a lineup that is pressing hard and missing everything. Turner has quietly put together a solid string of five starts in May covering 28 innings. Over that span, Turner has an elite 55% groundball rate, a swinging strike rate of 14% and an xERA of 3.68. Turner is looking like a former first-round pick that was a key to the Anibal Sanchez trade two summers ago. An unlucky 35% hit rate in May has kept his ERA above 4.00 but all the signs are there of him taking a big leap the rest of the way. At age 23 with 1st-round pedigree, Turner should be on your watch list because he’s so close to being extremely relevant and we‘ll put that to the test here. Big overlay.