BEST LINE: Pinnacle +114

Anibal Sanchez was virtually unhittable last night but as soon as the Jays saw somebody else they went to work. Toronto scored five in in the ninth for its third straight win and its 13th win in the past 15 games. The Jays are once again playing too well to ignore as a pooch, especially when the pitcher isn’t named Verlander, Scherzer or Sanchez. Rick Porcello has a low strikeout rate with 42 K’s in 64 innings. His xERA over his past five starts covering 32 innings is 4.45. Current Jays are hitting a robust .447 off Porcello with 42 hits in 97 combined AB’s. Of those 94 AB’s in his career against current Jays, Porcello has struck out five. In four starts at Comerica this year, Porcello is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA but he has a BAA of .286 and an xERA of 4.97.

Knuckleballers are unpredictable and that makes R.A. Dickey unpredictable. Dickey is just as prone to giving up five runs in five innings as he is of pitching a seven-inning gem. In terms of pitching matchups, if Dickey’s knuckler is dancing and he’s throwing strikes, give a big edge to him over Porcello. If he gets into trouble and gets knocked out early, so be it. Nobody can predict what Dickey will bring tonight but what we do know is that the Tigers have just four wins in their past 15 games and with the Jays history against Porcello, their potent offense, and their current form, it makes them the much better option taking back a tag than the Tigers spotting one.