Toronto @ DETROIT
Toronto +126 over DETROIT

BEST LINE: Pinnacle +126

The Tigers are just 4-10 over their last 14 games while the Blue Jays are 12-2 over that same span. Detroit has hit .256 during that stretch while the Blue Jays have hit a major-league high .301 and have also hit 26 jacks. Anibal Sanchez has the ability to dominate but at the age of 30 he’s beginning to have durability issues. Sanchez has only pitched passed the fifth inning in three of his eight starts. Sanchez does have a 2.49 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP and an oppBA of .183 but that’s not going to last because the skills don’t support it. Sanchez’s swing and miss rate is just 8%. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate is very average at 42%/22%/36% and in his last start his groundball/fly-ball split was 28%/56%. What’s so interesting is that Sanchez has not allowed a single jack this entire year but that can’t last because of the number of fly-balls he gives up. Yes, Sanchez has fine skills. However, regression analysis and that 2H xERA from last season both say not to expect another sub-3 ERA and now he’ll face a Jays’ team that is hitting everyone and everything.

Toronto Blue Jays manager John Gibbons pushed back Drew Hutchison's start two days. Gibbons said there is nothing physically wrong with Hutchison, but the team wanted to give him a couple of extra days rest because his velocity was down just a tad. It’s nothing to be concerned about at all. This was a smart move by Gibbons, who handles his pitching staff as well as any manager in baseball. Hutchison's strong minor league skills have materialized at this level. He's shown no ill effects from going under the knife, as he's punching out nearly a batter per inning while posting an impressive 11% swing and miss rate. What's more, he's bumped his fastball velocity from 91 mph in '12 to 92 mph, but can reach back to the 95-mph range if necessary. An unlucky strand % of 73% gives his 3.88 ERA even more room for improvement. This kid has the poise, the talent and the stuff to be a mainstay in the Blue Jays rotation for a long time. The Jays lead the league in fielding % and several offensive categories, making these red-hot Blue Jays too good to ignore as a pup. Invest. 



Our Pick

Toronto +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

Cincinnati +124 over San Diego
Washington +165 over Houston
Cleveland +152 over Houston