Baltimore @ TEXAS
Baltimore -106 over TEXAS

BEST LINE: Pinnacle -106

Ubaldo Jimenez isn’t exactly setting the world on fire but he does have 28 K’s over his last 27 innings covering five starts. Over his last six starts, Jimenez has allowed one earned run or less four times. That includes a seven-inning, three-hit gem against the Tigers and 7.1-inning, three-hit shutout against the Twins in which he walked one and struck out 10. Jimenez’s 2-6 record is misleading and so is his 4.65 ERA, which has been hurt by an extremely unlucky 70% strand rate. Use his 3.27 xERA as a more accurate barometer of just how well he’s been pitching. Jimenez has allowed just one HR in his past seven starts and he and the Orioles offer up so much more value here than Joe Saunders does pitching for the Rangers.

Joe Saunders. That’s funny. Saunders has returned to the rotation after missing over a month with an ankle injury. His four minor league rehab starts were not promising, as he went 0-2 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.55 WHIP while walking seven batters in 21.1 innings for Round Rock. Globe Life Park is not a good fit for this stiff either. He has been terrible in eight career starts at Rangers Ballpark, going 1-7 with a 8.58 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in 43 innings. Saunders’ ludicrous streak of stats-exceeding-skills finally ended last season at six years. Overall, these are consistent skills, but also rather paltry ones in which Saunders excels at nothing. His full-season worst 5.26 ERA in 2013 was not indicative of his skills, but neither was the 3.69 of 2011. In reality, Saunders' xERA, consistently in the 4.40-4.60 range, correctly paints him for what he is: a modestly skilled innings-eater that is now pitching at one of the most unforgiving parks in the game. Fade. 



Our Pick

Baltimore -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

Cincinnati +124 over San Diego
Washington +165 over Houston
Cleveland +152 over Houston