BEST LINE: Pinnacle +102 

In four starts at Camden Yards, Miguel Gonzalez is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA. Over his last three starts, he is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.00. Gonzalez has no chance of maintaining those numbers. Gonzalez has an xERA of 4.02. In five of his eight starts, his xERA is 5.79. He’s not a young prospect either, as TJS in 2009 ate up two years of his career and he’s turning 31 this season. Gonzalez earned a promotion with a 1.61 ERA in AAA in 2012 but MLB is another matter. xERA reflects pedestrian skills and he doesn't miss enough bats or get enough grounders to keep the ball in the park. The Indians bats have come to life and it’s unlikely that Gonzalez’s poor profile is going to slow them down.

Trevor Bauer is such a better option taking back a tag than Gonzalez is spotting one. Bauer replaced previously optioned Danny Salazar in the starting rotation. Bauer has struggled controlling the strike zone throughout his professional career particularly in his previous MLB exposure. He might have turned the corner in 2014 with 44 K/14 BB in 46 IP in Triple-A, plus eight K/two BB in six innings in an April spot start for Cleveland. Bauer now has 13 K’s and five walks in 12 innings over his two starts. Bauer has wickedly good stuff and as soon as this kid figures it all out, he’s going to be an ace because he’s that good. The window for getting Bauer at a cheap price may close in a hurry and with two pure quality starts in two attempts this year we’ll gladly take out chances with him again.