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Posted Wednesday at 11:30 AM EST. 

The 2016 PGA Championship:

The final major tournament of the 2016 season is upon us, as a large field of talented golfers set their sights on taking down the PGA Championship in Springfield, New Jersey. The site of this year’s event is Baltusrol Golf Club, a par-70, 7,400-yard course which will be the host of this prestigious tournament for the second time, the first coming back in 2005.

Last week, Jhonattan Vegas proved once again that you do not need to be a favorite to win a PGA TOUR event after nailing down the RBC Canadian Open, and he was joined by a few other underdog names (Jon Rahm, Martin Laird, Rickey Barnes, Alex Cejka, Steve Wheatcroft, Geoff Ogilvy, Jard du Toit) in the Top 10. The majors are the toughest to scope out true underdogs who have a real chance given the strength of the field, but even looking at the Open Championship, where the likes of Tyrell Hatton, Andrew Johnston, Matthew Southgate, and Andy Sullivan were in the Top 12, proves that each of these players has the talent to put up a huge performance on any given week. Below are a few names that have a great chance to make their way up the leaderboard despite little faith from Vegas.

The wagers to win outright will be made at Bet365  because of their “cashout option” while the head-to-head matches will be bet at Pinnacle unless otherwise stated:

Jason Dufner 80-1

Dufner had struggled over the previous two seasons, ranking 90th and 88th in the FedExCup standings before getting things back on track in 2016. He currently sits in 17th, thanks to 19-of-22 (86%) cuts made and five Top 10’s, including his fourth TOUR victory at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am back in February. He heads to New Jersey on the heels of eight straight visits to the weekend and did great in both of the majors during that stretch, tying for eighth at the U.S. Open and 22nd in the Open Championship. Overall, Dufner has six Top 10’s in 30 career major appearances, and certainly knows how to win one, as he did so at the 2013 PGA Championship at Oak Hill Country Club, beating out Jim Furyk by two strokes behind 75% of greens in regulation (GIR) hit. He will look to nail a ton of greens once again, as he currently ranks eighth in the category (69.44%) while also showing an accurate drive (63.57%, 50th on TOUR), leading to a scoring average of 70.170 (16th on TOUR). Dufner is not afraid of the tough talent he will face this week and could certainly compete for his second PGA Championship trophy come Sunday afternoon (Risking 0.2 units to win 16 units).

Heads up: At BET365 Round 1 betting:

Dufner -110 over Furyk. (Risking 0.55 units to win 0.5)

Gary Woodland 100-1

Woodland has made it his business to be one of the best golfers on TOUR who cannot lock down wins. He does have two from 2011 and 2013, but has failed to grab one in the past three seasons (68 starts) despite getting four runner-up finishes amongst 31 Top 25’s. He had another second place in 2016 at the Barracuda Championship and will look to continue playing well this week after four finishes in the Top 21 over his last five outings, including a fourth at the Memorial Tournament and a tie for 12th at the Open Championship. A huge drive (306.5 yards per drive, 9th on TOUR), tremendous approach game (68.49% GIR, 21st on TOUR), and the ability to score on par fives (4.54 average, 3rd on TOUR) has kept Woodland in the Top 45 of the FedExCup standings since 2013, and he should be able to add to his 14 cuts made over 19 major tournaments. Woodland is dangerous and should not be ignored at this price. (Risking 0.2 units to win 20 units). 

Head-to-head

#7070 Woodland -126 over Chappell

(Risking 1.26 units to win 1). 

Andy Sullivan 140-1

At 29 years old, Sullivan is somewhat of a late bloomer, and just began competing in PGA TOUR events during the 2015 season after playing exclusively overseas previously. In 2015, Sullivan earned three victories on the European TOUR as he found his swing, and 2016 has also been a productive year, with two Top 25 finishes in three major starts. After a 23rd at the U.S. Open, Sullivan pulled it together for an even better showing in Scotland, where he tallied a score of one-under and came in 12th. Overseas, he has shown to be at the top of the game in a wide range of areas, ranking 23rd in GIR (71%), 55th in Putts Per GIR (1.772), and 12th in Sand Saves (68.4%). Watch out for Sullivan to continue a run of six consecutive finishes in the Top 23 between the two tours when he finishes his four days at the PGA Championship. With some luck, we could certainly pop (Risking 0.2 units to win 28 units).

Head-to-head:

#7078 Sullivan -135 over D. Lingmerth

(Risking 1.35 units to win 1). 

Brandt Snedeker 55-1

Sneds comes in super hot after last week’s dominating fantasy performance at Glen Abbey where he played in the final grouping on Sunday and finished T5. Although he has never cracked a Top 10 in this particular major, that fact shouldn’t matter much this week. In his most recent event he held the 54-hole lead and ranked T2 there in par-4 scoring. His stroke looked confident at Glen Abbey and his putter was electric, which is why he has a great chance this week. At these odds, he’s worth a bet. (Risking 0.2 units to win 11 units).

Head-to-head

7040 Snedeker -110 over Reed

(Risking 1.1 units to win 1)

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7042 Snedeker +105 over B. Grace

(Risking 1 unit). 

Please note: We will update this event after it is final. 

TOTAL RISK: 6.16 units 

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RESULTS
Winners:

Dufner -110 over Furyk = 0.5 units

Losers

Sullivan -125 over D. Lingmerth -1.25

Snedeker -110 over Reed -1 unit

Snedeker +105 over B. Grace -105

4 golfers to win outright -0.8 units.

PUSH

Woodland -126 over Chappell

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Total Winners 0.5 units

Total losers: 4.65 units

NET LOSS: 4.15 units

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