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Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Charlton Athletic +120 (To Win in Full Time) over Wycombe Wanderers

The Valley – London, England

EFL League One Playoff Semifinal – Second Leg

3:00 PM ET. The opportunity for Wycombe Wanderers to take control of this semifinal came and went. After a grinding, cagey 0–0 draw in the first leg at Adams Park — a match marked more by attrition than attacking quality — Charlton Athletic return to The Valley with everything still to play for and a clear path to Wembley, with Stockport County likely awaiting in the final.

Sunday’s stalemate was not without controversy. A reckless, double-foul challenge by Wycombe’s Richard Kone on Charlton’s Kayne Ramsay could easily have resulted in a sending-off, but the Addicks came through unscathed. Now, on their home ground, Charlton are in a prime position to take command.

Let’s get to the number. Charlton are currently -163 to qualify for the final, yet they’re being offered at +120 to win in full time. That discrepancy screams value. Wycombe, meanwhile, are +230 to either win in 90 minutes or force extra time — signaling that they’re priced as significantly less likely to come out on top, whether inside regulation or beyond.

This is a classic value spot. The market is pointing to Charlton as the more likely winner, and we’re being offered plus-money for them to finish the job in 90 minutes. That’s where the equity lies.

Charlton won't be playing for extra time. This is their opportunity to close out the tie at home and avoid the roulette of added minutes or penalties. Wycombe, on the other hand, may be demoralized after failing to capitalize on home advantage — especially considering how tough they’ve historically been at Adams Park. Charlton flipping the script with a draw in that setting was no small feat.

It’s hard to see a repeat of the first leg in London. Manager Nathan Jones set his team up conservatively in the first leg to keep the tie within reach. Now, back at The Valley, expect a different tone, tempo, and intent. The price reflects that, and we’ll trust the number to lead us home.

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