Pinnacle +216 BET365 +215 Sportsinteraction +215  888Sport +215

Posted at 10:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Anaheim +216 over Los Angeles

10:30 PM ET. OT included. The Ducks are in a groove, winners of five of their last six, and they come into this one with confidence, knowing they’ve hung with some of the best in the league recently. Winsover Winnipeg (twice), Tampa, Carolina, and New Jersey show that Anaheim can punch above its weight, and yet the market still prices them like a bottom-feeder. That gives us an opportunity.

On the other side, the Kings are rolling at home, winners of 12 of their last 13 at Crypto.com Arena. Their success is no secret, and oddsmakers are well aware, hence the hefty price on L.A. That’s fine—because we’re not in the business of paying premiums on perceived powerhouses, we’re in the business of finding value.

At 2-to-1 or better, Anaheim is simply priced too high. The Kings played a taxing 5-4 shootout win over Dallas on Friday night, while the Ducks had two full days to rest and prepare. That extra energy matters. Meanwhile, L.A. is saving Darcy Kuemper for this one, but that’s not exactly a fearsome sight. Kuemper has an .892 save percentage this season—he’s a goalie the Ducks can beat.

Anaheim is also playing with a nothing-to-lose mindset, and their confidence is growing. When teams start believing in themselves, they become dangerous. The Ducks are treating this like a playoff push, and that’s a mentality that can make an underdog live. Anaheim has been proving all season they can pull off these types of wins. At this price, there’s only one way to go. Quack, quack.

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