Edmonton DETROIT
DETROIT - +255 over Edmonton

Pinnacle -½ +200 BET365 -½ +225 SportInteraction -½ +195 BetOnlin-½ +199 Bookmaker -½ +200

Posted at 4:45 PM EST.

DETROIT -½ +225 over Edmonton

7:35 PM EST. Regulation only. It’s no surprise that Edmonton’s offense has driven this bus to a 9-1-0 record. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl lead the league with 17 points apiece; Ryan Nugent-Hopkins paces the circuit with 11 assists; and, big-ticket free agent signing Zach Hyman has six goals in his first eight games playing with his new pals. Add it all together and you have an offense tied for first with an average of 4.1 goals per game.

At some point however, the Oilers offense figures to slow down. The team is currently clipping at 46.2% on the power play and even though it led the NHL in PP% last season, Edmonton did so with a 27.6% success rate. In other words, the Oilers will likely have one of the NHL’s best power plays, but the rate is still unsustainable and so is Edmonton’s 90.1% success rate on the penalty kill.

Edmonton doesn’t need to dominate possession or dominate the xGF battle to win games. The Oilers have the best player in the world and a lot of other terrific offensive playmakers, so they can get plenty of points by just hanging around and waiting for No. 97 to win them a game. However, that also means it shouldn’t be a surprise to see some lesser teams skating with them. A decent club with significant flaws, the Oilers are going to be overpriced a lot because of its 9-1 record. With conspicuous goaltending, mediocre defensive results and unsustainably hot special teams, we’re thrilled to get this price on them to lose in regulation to one of the more underrated teams in the game. Incidentally, Edmonton has played the 31st ranked Strength of Schedule (SOS) while Detroit’s SOS ranks 11th.

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Our Pick

DETROIT - +255 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.10)

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