Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST
10:05 PM EST. OT included. This 2018/19 playoff year may go down as one of the most memorable on record, as lower seeds continue to do damage to higher seeds. The next one in line to get knocked off is this #1 seed in the west and frankly, we haven’t seen anything that suggests the Flames can stave off elimination. Well, perhaps we should rephrase that because a Calgary victory would surprise nobody and Calgary is obviously very capable of beating Colorado. What is a more appropriate statement is that we haven’t seen anything that suggests the Flames should be priced in this range.
In the first game of this series, Calgary outplayed Colorado in the final two periods but other than that, it’s been the Avalanche that have clearly been the better team and that is backed up by the analytics too. Last game in Colorado, Mike Smith seriously had the game of his life and the Flames still lost, 3-2 in OT. If you missed that game and think the Avs got lucky by rallying with two goals in the third in a close game to send it to OT, you would be wrong. That 3-2 Colorado win was perhaps the most misleading score of the playoffs so far. Colorado literally could have buried a dozen goals had Mike Smith not made one remarklable save after the other.
From where we sit, Calgary looks as shell-shocked as the Bolts did against the Jackets. Calgary has shown spurts but its best players are taking a big time backseat to Colorado’s best players and now Calgary will play this one under extreme pressure. Colorado has been more physical, they’re winning the puck battles and possession time, they have a plethora of swag and confidence and they have the superior goaltending. The price absolutely seals the deal.
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Colorado +150 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)