Today's Free Picks for
NHL Series Price
Series begins Wednesday, April 10th.
Posted on April 8th, before the 1st game of this series.
10:35 PM EST. The Sharks are a great team, make no mistake about that, as they led the NHL in Corsi For % and that alone makes them a tough out. In fact, if they weren’t so dominating on the puck, they would have lost far more games than they won this season and therefore would’ve been watching this opening round from the rails. The problem with the Sharks, and it’s a massive one, is that their goaltending cannot stand up in a seven game series against a team that possesses the puck almost as much as they do. When this series ends, Martin Jones will not be the goaltender skating off in defeat, as he will 100% be replaced by Aaron Dell at some point.
In 28 of the 59 games that Jones appeared in, his save percentage was below .880. He had five games in which his save percentage was .700 (!) or worse. Jones posted save percentages of .864, .885, .815, .850, .727, .897 and .853 in seven of his last nine games and he had similar stretches throughout the entire year. Jones is the absolute worst goaltender in the game and is the reason that the Knights offer up such great value here but there’s more.
Vegas was also an analytical beast this year, ranking highly in all key possession metrics, which includes ranking third in Corsi For % during five-on-five play. The Knights also ranked second in the league in Expected Goals For Per 60 (xGF/60), thus Martin Jones is going to have to come up with too many big saves for the Sharks to advance. That is seriously not happening. On March 30th, the Sharks went into San Jose in a horrible scheduling spot (playing back-to-back, third game in four nights, fourth game in six nights and sixth game in nine nights) and lost 4-3 in OT. Rested and in a better spot just 12 days earlier, also in San Jose on March 18th, the Knights went into the Shark Tank and buried the Sharks, 7-3. The Knights are the most balanced and dominating team in the West and we’re suggesting that the Sharks do not have the goaltending to back up their otherwise strong play. That’s what’s going to cost the Sharks this series and prompts us to move in hard. Incidentally, Marc Andre Fleury is ready to go.
Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
Vegas +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)