MONTREAL @ NEW JERSEY
MONTREAL -½ +113 over NEW JERSEY

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +113 BET 365 -½ +110 SportsInteraction -½ +105  5DIMES -½ +110

Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. The Devils are a very respectable 4-4 over their past eight games, which means they’re getting far too much credit in the betting line here. The Devils are easily one of the most, if not the most beatable team in the game. Since January 9th, a span of six weeks or 20 games, New Jersey ranks dead last in Corsi For % during five-on-five play. Combine their weak puck possession numbers with their brutal goaltending and lack of scoring and one starts to understand why the Devils are so beatable. See those four wins? One was against Ottawa the first night the Sens sat out their trio of pending UFA’s (Stone, Duchesne and Dzingel). Another win was against the Sabres in a game the Sabres dominated throughout. The third win was a miracle one in Minnesota, where the Devils trailed 4-1, yanked their starting goalie and somehow caught the Wild napping in the third to tie it and eventually win it in OT. The final win was a 3-2 victory over Carolina in a game the Devils spent in their own end the entire night and got dominated in the Corsi For % and shots on net departments. Of those four wins, the Devils maybe deserved one, which was against the depleted Sens. Three of the Devils four losses over that same span were by three, three and five goals against the Rangers, Blackhawks and Blues respectively.

The Habs are coming off an undeserving loss in Toronto in a game they led 3-0. The tying goal about midway through the third was the result of a crazy bounce off the backboards and onto the stick of William Nylander, who buried the puck into an open net. The Leafs would add three more goals with the latter two being empty-netters. The final score says nothing about how well the Habs played even without Jonathan Drouin, who was a late scratch due to the flu. Drouin will be back tonight but more importantly, this is a complete mismatch in the Canadiens favor. The Leafs are -250 over Buffalo tonight and we assure you that this is a bigger mismatch than that one, although Toronto is at home and Montreal is on the road. Still, Montreal ranks high in every analytical category on both ends of the ice while the Devils are an analytic dumpster fire. Montreal has a massive edge in goal too. The best news is that Montreal is 3-5 over their last eight games so on paper, this one looks close to a market that is looking at recent form/results. In that regard it does look close on paper but under the hood, where the truth is revealed, Montreal is the vastly superior team by a wide, wide margin and nothing but horrible luck will prevent them from emerging with a resounding victory.

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Our Pick

MONTREAL -½ +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)

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Chicago +167 over Ottawa