BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +184 BET 365 +175 SportsInteraction +175 5DIMES +175

Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

7:05 PM EST. OT included. While the media salivates over “how good” the Lightning are, we’re not as convinced. They have goal scorers and great goaltending, which means you win a lot of games in this league but flawless they are not. The Bolts rank middle of the pack (15th) or worse in every key defensive category and that means their very average defense can be pressured into making plenty of mistakes. The Bolts are by no means killing it lately either. Over its last three games against Florida, Calgary and Dallas, the Lightning mustered just 23, 27 and 26 shots on net respectively, got outchanced and outplayed in all three games but went 3-0. The Bolts also have recent losses to St. Louis, Vegas and Pittsburgh and while they also beat Pittsburgh recently (5-4), they were fortunate to win that one too. Contrary to what the media is pimping, the Bolts are not unbeatable.

Give us the Canadiens at this price and unless something is out of whack, you can pencil us in every time. Montreal is playing great hockey right now but all they have to show for it is two losses in a row to Toronto and Nashville. They were not outplayed in either. Prior to that, the Habs played Winnipeg, beat them 5-2 and outshot the Jets, 53-34. Since January 1, Montreal ranks 1st in Scoring Chances Against and 2nd in High Danger Scoring Chances Against. They rank second in Corsi For % during five-on-five play and rank highly in all the other sub-analytic categories too. Carey Price has his swag back, the Canadiens are truly legit and we now get them at a price we shouldn’t be. That’s value.

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