Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 4:10 PM EST.
7:35 PM EST. Make no mistake that we’re absolutely on board with the Golden Knights being as good as their record was last year or even this year. In fact, we trust that they’re even better than last year. The Golden Knights have great analytics across the board on both ends of the ice with their only flaw, really, is between the pipes. With a true #1 goaltender, Vegas would be a massive threat to win it all but right now, Marc Andre Fleury is too big a risk to get behind the Knights on the road at these prices. We also like that it’s the final game of a four-game road trip for the Knights before they return home to play four in a row and eight of their next nine at T-Mobile Arena. The perception in the market is that the Red Wings are among the worst teams in the league but nothing could be further from the truth. With Detroit’s stock being low because of market perception based on their record, the Red Wings stock takes a bigger drop with the possibility that Dylan Larkin will miss this one. Both Larkin himself and coach Jeff Blashill said that Larkin is questionable for tonight and will be a game time decision. We’ll assume he’s out and if he plays, that’s a real plus. Blashill also said Michael Rasmussen returns to the lineup tonight but let’s focus on the Red Wings overall play. Jeff Blashill stated that the Red Wings have been in every game this year but two. Blashill wouldn’t be wrong. In fact, the Red Wings have lost eight games this year when they have had a third period lead, which is tops in the NHL. The Red Wings are loaded with speed, talent and they also have balance and stable goaltending. The Red Wings are playing vastly superior to the Capitals right now so imagine Vegas being -160 or priced in this same range in Washington. It wouldn’t happen because results and not performances influence the line. Since January 1, Detroit ranks fifth in Corsi For % during five-on-five play. Detroit is a bounce away in every game (but two) from being a legit playoff team and this year’s “Las Vegas”. Don’t sleep on them down the stretch and peg them as being one the liveliest dogs the rest of the season. We’ll put that to the test here.
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DETROIT +143 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.86)