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Detroit @ WINNIPEG
Detroit - +350 over WINNIPEG

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +301 BET 365 -½ +350 SportsInteraction  N/A 5DIMES -½ +300

Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

8:05 PM EST. Regulation only. We’re almost sure that the Jets are going to need a lot of luck to win this game because they’re just so ripe to get beat here. Winnipeg played last night in an important game in Minnesota and lost 3-2. Two days ago, the Jets were absolutely dominated for 60 minutes in an extremely fortunate 7-4 victory over the Avalanche. The Jets were outshot 41-21 by Colorado and scored those seven goals on those 21 shots. The entire game was played in Winnipeg’s end. Last night, Winnipeg looked fatigued for the first two periods before finding some energy in the third. Now the Jets will play their third game in four days, tail end of back-to-backs and fifth game in seven days and they’ve also had to travel four times (to Pittsburgh and back, to Minnesota and back) over those seven days. The Jets are shorthanded with at least two key players (Ehlers and Byfuglien with Tyler Myers questionable) still on the rack. Chasing the puck is exhausting. The last two games that is precisely what the Jets have been doing. Completely spent, Winnipeg will now play a perceived weak team from the East that they have no bones to pick with. On deck Sunday is a game with the Ducks. Winnipeg is in no position to come up with something strong here.

Detroit is a big pooch here because they have dropped eight of nine and because they have very little market credibility. Without going into the details right now, it is proven that one-goal games in this league are all luck-driven. In that regard, the Red Wings are coming off back-to-back-to-back one goal losses to Washington, Montreal and Nashville. In fact, seven of their nine losses over this current funk have been by one goal (one was a two goal loss but the opposition added an empty netter). To suggest that the Red Wings have been the recipient of poor puck luck would be an understatement. Detroit is not an easy out. They can roll out three scoring lines that create chances and their defense is also improving game by game. You may read, hear or think that Detroit is losing because three starting d-men are on the rack but we’re not buying it. That has opened up the door for a nice looking talent named Filip Hronek. Hronek can move the puck out efficiently and he can create offense. He joins another good-looking rookie on the blue-line named Dennis Cholowski. Niklas Kronwall and either Nick Jensen and Jonathan Ericsson give the Red Wings four or five d-men that don’t look a bit out of place. Regardless, an undervalued and dangerous Red Wings’ team catch the Jets at precisely the perfect time and we’ll therefore play the Red Wings to win this one in regulation at this beautiful and ridiculous price.   

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Our Pick

Detroit - +350 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 7.00)

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