Buffalo @ NASHVILLE
Buffalo -½ +250 over NASHVILLE

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +236 BET 365 -½ +250 SportsInteraction -½ +250 5DIMES -½ +250

Posted at 2:30 PM EST.

8:05 PM EST. Speaking of expected regression in numbers, Pekka Rinne’s .934 save percentage is not sustainable but that’s not what this wager is about. This wager is all about value, as the media continues to overhype the Preds because of their great pedigree over the past few seasons along with their great record this year. Smashville is 18-8-1 but they rank 15th in Corsi For % during five-on-five play. They rank 16th in xGF and those numbers mostly occurred with a healthy squad. That is no longer the case, as this top heavy Preds’ team is now forced to play without Filip Forsberg, Viktor Arvidsson, Kyle Turris and P.K. Subban but they are priced here like that quartet is not missing. Those are four huge parts to the Predators engine and while one might expect the other players to dig down a little deeper, the Preds cannot be priced like this with those players on the rack.

The market still does not believe in the Sabres, which is fine by us because it allows us to take back a price like this on them here. The Sabres have also lost two straight and didn’t look that good in doing so but that was after a 10-game winning streak so a bit of a letdown was expected. The Sabres can now hit the reset button and get back to it. If the Sabres lose here, so be it but in terms of value, this is as good as any on today’s board and must be played.

Therefore:

OT included - Buffalo +152 for 1 unit.

Regulation only - Buffalo -½ +250 for 1 unit. 

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Our Pick

Buffalo -½ +250 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.00)

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Chicago +167 over Ottawa