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Posted at 1:30 PM EST

NHL 2018/19. This season our approach is going to be a little different than regular readers are accustomed to. Whenever we’re playing an underdog, the bet will be split into two parts. We’re playing the underdog -½ +money for 1 unit and we’ll also play them with OT included for 1 unit. The take-backs are so high and offer so much value that over time, playing this way will benefit us.

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. The Rangers are just 1-4, but they are so much better this season than last after dropping many of the anchors that had slowed them down for years. Gone are Rick Nash, Ryan McDonagh and J.T. Miller and in are a bunch of young guys that can skate their asses off. Brett Howden, who the Rags picked up from Tampa in the McDonagh trade has looked great so far on the big stage with a pair of goals while centering a line with Pavel Buchnevich and Mats Zuccarello. The trio has quietly racked up nine points between them in five games. The Rangers are creating chances, but the pucks are not going in just yet. The Rags are ninth in high danger scoring chances and first-year head coach David Quinn is committed to being more aggressive. Henrik Lundqvist has been steady in the net and sports a 2.00 goals against average, despite only having one win on his resume so far.

The Avalanche were the absolute dregs in 2016-17, but shocked the market after a 47-point improvement that also led to a playoff appearance last season. Regression almost always take place after such a significant improvement but we have not seen that from the Avs just yet but give it time. The goods under the hood did not support that significant leap in 2017-18 and not much has changed here to start 2018-19. The Avalanche do not impress when looking at the fancy stats, as they are 15th in puck possession and 25th in high danger scoring chances. The Avs have been outshot in all but one of their five games this season including getting outshot 41-26 in a 3-2 overtime loss to Calgary last time out. A deeper dive shows that the Avalanche has benefited greatly from their special teams play. In its two road games this season, Colorado has spent plenty of time in the box after hitting the sin bin 13 times against the Blue Jackets and Sabres combined. They killed off all but one of those short-handed situations, as well as 10 others to start the season but it’s a warning that they’re chasing the puck instead of possessing it. The Avs have an unsustainable penalty kill percentage of 95.7%, while also sporting the eighth best power-play. Special teams goals are luck based and those bounces are bound to even out. For a little perspective, the Avs were a +140 pooch in Columbus just a week ago and now they are spotting a price on the road in New York based on the early returns, which is something we have to continue to attack. Nice overlay here.

Therefore:

OT included - N.Y. Rangers +115 for 1 unit.

Regulation only N.Y. Rangers -½ + 190 for 1 unit.

Also, just like in baseball and every sport, there is a great chance will be adding a bunch of late add-ons to our slate of games after dinner and we’ll be sure to tweet them out when we do.

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