Vegas @ PITTSBURGH
Vegas -½ +250 over PITTSBURGH

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -½ +249 BET 365 -½ +250 SportsInteraction  -½ +250 5DIMES  -½ +246

Posted at 2:15 PM EST

NHL 2018/19. This season our approach is going to be a little different than regular readers are accustomed to. Whenever we’re playing an underdog, the bet will be split into two parts. We’re playing the underdog -½ +money for 1 unit and we’ll also play them with OT included for 1 unit. The take-backs are so high and offer so much value that over time, playing this way will benefit us.

7:05 PM EST. The only thing we’re going to focus on here is value. This is not an attack against the Penguins, as we have great respect for this team and its players but Pittsburgh is also beatable because of weak goaltending and weak defense. The Penguins have allowed 11 goals against in its two games, which includes giving up five in Pittsburgh to the offensively challenged Canadiens. The Pens are now 1-1 after defeating Washington 7-6 in OT to open the season. Still, when you give up that many chances and goals, you’re a beatable team even on your best night.

Vegas is finding out that winning games in this league isn’t as easy as it was last season when they snuck up on everyone. This season, the Golden Knights being taken very seriously by their opponents and with a 1-3 start to open the season, they are priced here like a “one-hit” wonder when nothing could be further from the truth. The Knights may have lost James Neal and David Perron but the additions of Max Pacioretty and Paul Stastny more than compensate although Stastny will sit this one out with an injury. Still, Vegas has lost three games not because they played poorly but because they received poor goaltending and poor luck. The Knights have won the possession game in all four contests so far. They held the Flyers to a lousy 15 shots on net but lost 5-2. They were all over the Sabres in a 4-2 loss and actually sit as one of the top analytical teams after four games. The Knights have not lost a step at all but all this market sees or cares about is wins and losses. It’s also worth noting that Malcolm Subban will play in goal for Vegas after Marc Andre Fleury started the previous four and was yanked once. Subban, incidentally, stopped all nine shots he faced in relief of MAF and is probably a much better option than him anyway. Look, if this game was being played last March or April or if the Golden Knights were 4-0 to start the year like they deserve to be, the Pens would be in the -130 range here but results matter in this market and because of it, we get great opportunities like this one. Big overlay here.

Therefore:

OT included - Vegas +170 for 1 unit.

Regulation only Vegas -½ + 250 for 1 unit.

 

Also, just like in baseball and every sport, there is a great chance will be adding a bunch of late add-ons to our slate of games after dinner and we’ll be sure to tweet them out when we do.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

Vegas -½ +250 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.00)

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Colorado +135 over Winnipeg
Colorado -½ +145 over Winnipeg