Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:00 PM EST.
8:05 PM EST. OT included. A 1-7-2 run over their last 10 games has the Stars on the outside looking in, which has to be frustrating for a team that is playing so well but can't get a stop when it counts. Dallas' stock is plummeting, but even if it doesn't get into the playoffs, the Stars still have a chance to play the role of spoiler, as the Wild are being pursued by both Colorado and St. Louis, with the former grabbing two-points last night. The analytics show the Stars are the superior team everywhere but between the pipes. Despite its poor run of recent results, Dallas cannot be a pooch in its own barn.
It's deja vu as the Wild get set to take on the Stars in this back end of a home-and-home. The Wild are favored on the road here because results influence the number more than performance. After dominating the Stars on the score sheet in Minnesota this past Thursday night, where the scoreboard read 5-2 in the Wild’s favor, it was the Stars who dominated the play after outshooting and out-chancing the home side. The Wild scored five times on their 22-shots for an otherworldly 22.7 shooting percentage, while goaltender Devin Dubnyk stopped 29-of-31 shots. Even with the win over Dallas last time out, the Wild have lost three of their last five games. They've also dropped road decisions to Nashville, Edmonton, Colorado and Arizona in March. This small price on Minny is going to look very appealing for those in the market on the hunt for an easy winner, but the Stars are superior to the Wild in every area but goal. However, Devin Dubnyk's run of three straight shutouts was months ago, and he's capable of giving up goals in bunches, as he did against the Avs, Oilers and Kings in recent outings. Give us the motivated and superior Stars at home in a very foul mood against a team they desperately want to beat and throw in a small rage and you can pencil us in 100% of the time.
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DALLAS +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)