Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:35 PM EST.
7:35 PM EST. OT included. Last night we played both these teams and cashed one of two tickets, as the ‘Canes went into Philadelphia and handed the Flyers their first regulation loss in 12 games (4-1) while the Devils went toe-to-toe with the red-hot Panthers in a 3-2 loss. Nothing has changed today. The Hurricanes are still a tough out every night that they get solid goaltending like they got from Cam Ward last night. They’re almost always a live dog because they’re disciplined (least penalties in the league) and have outstanding puck possession numbers. However, as the chalk, they become a big risk because of such weak goaltending. Of the 66 qualified goaltenders in the NHL, Scott Darling ranks 66th in GSAA. That makes him the worst qualified goaltender in the NHL and if goaltending decides more games than anything else, the ‘Canes are an instant fade as the favorite with Scott Darling in net.
The Devils didn’t win last night but they played a good game against a very good team playing at a high level. Cory Schneider returned after missing 16 games so there is a good chance that Keith Kinkaid will get the call here, which is fine by us, as Kinkaid has some misleading numbers that make him look worse than he is. Kinkaid had one really rough 12-game stretch in which his numbers were poor in 12 of those 15 games. However, he was rock solid before that and he’s been rock solid afterward too. Kinkaid has posted save percentages of .947, .968, .952, and .931 in four of his last five starts. Despite losing last night, the Devils played an energized, strong road game with newcomers Patrick Maroon and Michael Grabner being quite noticeable out there. The Devils speed and talent creates so many high danger scoring chances. In fact, in 5v5 play, New Jersey ranks 6th in High Danger Scoring Chances over the past five weeks and when you do that, you’re going to score on Scott Darling. So many people make MLB wagers based on starting pitchers because that is what the betting line is largely based on. In this case, the starting goaltenders will likely play a big role and Darling has proven over and over again this year that his chances of losing are far greater than his chances of winning
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New Jersey +123 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.46)