Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:30 AM EST.
2:05 PM EST. OT included. The Rangers last three games have all gone under, as they beat Winnipeg 3-1 before losing back-to-back games to the Wild and Islanders by scores of 3-2 and 3-0, respectively. That’s nice, it really is but final scores actually mean nothing because nobody on the planet can predict whether or not the goaltender(s) will be hot or cold. For instance, Henrik Lundqvist kicked aside 37 shots against Winnipeg and many of those were of the high quality variety but two games prior, he was yanked after allowing four goals on 15 shots. What we know for sure is that both goaltenders here will need to be hot for this ticket to lose because both teams’ will generate a slew of scoring chances. The Rangers and Senators rank 30th and 29th respectively in 5v5 Score and Venue Adjusted Corsi Against/60 over the past 25 games. In Scoring Chances Against Per 60, the Rags and Sens rank 25th and 30th respectively.
We could go over all the metrics but it’s not necessary, as these are two extremely weak defenses that are constantly under siege. We especially like that the Sens have added Marion Gaborik to play with Matt Duchene, while getting rid of Dion Phaneuf. Gaborik has a new lease on life, as he gets to play with some very creative players while the Sens have to replace Phaneuf’s 22 minutes per game. Ottawa is likely going to score more and allow more while the Rags need to score four or five to win anything. There is some recency bias at play here, as these two have gone under in four straight games combined but that all likely ends here.
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OTTAWA/N.Y. Rangers over 5½ +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)