Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST.
7:05 PM EST. OT included. We are not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the Senators. They are clearly the second best team in this game and they will get outplayed for sure. What we know for sure is that Ottawa has caught fire many times over the past few years and probably have a hot streak in them this year. This is a team with too much star power to keep losing as many games as they are but this wager is not about backing the Sens. It’s about fading the Hurricanes at a massive price because Carolina is vulnerable to losing every single time it takes the ice.
The Hurricanes are a team we are very familiar with because we have bet them (and watched them) so often over the past few years and ripped up a lot of tickets. The media keeps insisting that something just isn't adding up with the Hurricanes. For the past four seasons, they have ranked in the top 11 in the NHL in Corsi For percentage and are #1 this season. Last season, they ranked sixth in Corsi For percentage, and were still outscored at 5-on-5 by 25 goals. This season, they added Justin Williams to a roster with young talent in Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen and Elias Lindholm, but still sit 17th in even-strength goals. Carolina is likely going to miss the playoffs again and it’s not rocket science as to why. The number one factor in determining the outcome of hockey games is goaltending and that’s the only reason why the Hurricanes lose so often. Put Andrei Vasilevskiy on the ‘Canes and Cam Ward and Scott Darling on the Bolts and we’d be discussing the Canes as the best team in the NHL and the Bolts would be right where the Canes are this year. It’s that simple. Cam Ward or Scott Darling (it does not matter) priced in this range is equivalent to a last place teams’ fifth starter in baseball being a 2-1 favorite. It cannot be. Darling is putrid and Ward isn’t much better, thus every time either one takes the ice, there is a distinct possibility that they’ll give up four, five or more goals and it’s for that reason that any team taking back this price against the Canes must be played.
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Ottawa +171 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.42)