Pinnacle   -3½ -105   BET365   -3½ -105  Sportsinteraction   -3½ -105  888port  -3½ -105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Denver -3½ over Dallas

Empire Field At Mile High - Denver, CO

4:25 PM ET. This number feels short. Denver’s won four straight, including a miracle comeback last week, and they’re quietly becoming one of the tougher outs in the AFC. Now they return home, altitude and all, against a Dallas team that’s as inconsistent as it gets. The Cowboys have alternated wins and losses since Week 2, yet the market keeps treating them like a top-tier outfit. They’re not. They’re a middle-of-the-pack team with gaudy point totals that hide serious flaws.

Dallas has been scoring in bunches, sure — their last four games have averaged over 65 points — but that also means their defense is spending far too much time reacting. Prescott’s putting up numbers because he has to. Every Dallas game turns into a track meet, and those rarely end well when you’re playing at Mile High against a team that thrives on chaos.

Denver, meanwhile, has found something. Bo Nix isn’t flashy, but he’s smart, steady, and unshaken. His command of Sean Payton’s offense gets sharper by the week, and that fourth-quarter explosion against the Giants wasn’t luck — it was a product of patience. They just kept coming. Nix is now 7-2 against the spread as a home favorite over the last two years, and that includes spots just like this: modest number, public on the other side, Broncos undervalued at home.

The Cowboys are traveling on a short emotional turnaround after routing Washington. They’ve been awful away from Jerry World (1-3 on the road), and this altitude trip is never friendly. Denver’s defense still bends, but at home, it’s a different animal. They disguise coverages, fly to the ball, and feed off the noise.

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