Dallas @ N.Y. Giants
N.Y. Giants -1 over Dallas

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Posted at 10:15 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Dallas @ N.Y. Giants -1

8:15 PM EST. The Giants are 2-0 for the first time since 2016 and therefore have some hype as a nice little “surprise” this season, but when you play in the biggest media market on the continent, nothing you do is “little” or under the radar. The G-Men have posted narrow wins over Tennessee, last year’s top seed in the AFC, and Carolina. Furthering their curb appeal, the Giants have played well when the often injured Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is out, posting a 3-0 mark in that department.

On the Cowboys side, Cooper Rush is now 2-0 as a starter (1 win last year too) after the ‘Boys beat the Bengals in Week 2. It was a market stunning win, but one has to wonder how much of an appetite there may be for these Cowboys tonight. While the win last week was nice, Dallas was embarrassed by Tampa Bay in Week 1. 

Dallas has also posted an injury report longer than your average seven year old’s Christmas list. There are 15 Cowboys that are either on the IR, out or questionable for this game tonight. Rarely do we discuss injuries when we are making our plays unless we plan to use a market overreaction to them to our advantage. In this case, we just want to point out that this is something that is being talked about in the market and it’s going to have an influence.

If you were to take 200 people in any sportsbook in Vegas and give them $100 to make a bet on this game, you are going to find that roughly half of them will take the Giants, while the other half will be on the Cowboys. In theory, this is what the books want. Equal action on both sides with the vig left for them to collect. It doesn’t always work that way, but in the case of this Monday nighter, they’ve nailed it. If given $100 and forced to choose, we’d go with the Giants because we cannot bring ourselves to play a bad number, even with a free wager.

The Giants opened as a three point favorite here in the swamp, but they are now just better than a coin flip at most outfits. Despite that line movement, there are just too many other red flags on both sides for us to come out strong on either side. When we post an official play, it’s because we absolutely see great value or some situational edge or something. It’s impossible to find that conviction here, so we're going to pass. We’ll close this week with an overall 3-3 mark and move onto next week. Good luck with whatever side you choose. Enjoy the game. No bets



Our Pick

N.Y. Giants -1 (Risking 0 units - To Win: 0.00)