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Posted at 10:15 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Seattle -1 over Atlanta

4:25 PM EST. Week-to-week overreactions are something to monitor, as they are freshest in the minds of the market and therefore often carry the most weight. To that point, does anyone remember Seattle beating Denver in Week 1? Is that win even worth a drizzling s**t after the Broncos almost lost at home to woeful Houston last Sunday? In Week 2, Seattle went to San Francisco with some hype around their defense, which was ready to eat up Trey Lance. What happened was most ironic, as Lance went down and Jimmy Garoppolo was summoned from the bench. The result—the Seahawks were dropped like a bad habit, 27-7.

There are plenty of reasons to be sour on Seattle. Head coach Pete Carroll is on the hot seat. So is Geno Smith, who had big shoes to fill after Carroll ran Russell Wilson out of town. Seattle has played eight quarters of football this season and the offense hasn't scored in six quarters. That ineptness is going to have an impact. To be fair to Smith and Carroll, Wilson hasn’t looked any better in Denver, but that’s a story for another write-up. Regardless, there is a stink coming out of Seattle that the market wants no part of. That’s the kind of stench we often embrace because when everyone is jumping off, that’s almost always the right time to jump on.

What about the Falcons? The Dirty Birds have covered two straight games despite not posting a win in the standings. In this market, trips to the pay window are what matters the most. It might look good for those invested in the new look Falcons, but tread lightly here. Atlanta gave up a big lead to the Saints in Week 1 to lose a game it should have won. Last week in L.A. the Falcons walked away with what looks like a respectable 31-27 loss to the champs. However, Atlanta was getting frog-stomped until the final few minutes when in-game variance struck. A blocked Rams punt for a major and a safety touch later, the Falcons were in a position to win a game it was never in.

When there is a sample size this small, teams that are paying out become the most trustworthy. This game is on that level. The Falcons were a 2½-point pooch at open, but are now just a one point favorite. We would be shocked if the Falcons are not favored in this game by kickoff. Even if they aren't, the Seahawks cannot be a hair better than a coinflip on their home turf against an unproven invader that is riding a “hot streak” at the tables.