Detroit @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -5 -108 over Detroit

Pinnacle -5½ -108 BET365 -5½ -110SportInteraction +-5½ -110BetOnlin+-5½ -110 Bookmaker -5½ -110

Posted at 10:15 AM EST.

PITTSBURGH -8 -105 over Detroit

1:00 PM EST. With every fiber of our being, we want to like the Lions in this spot to get their first win. We really do. However, it’s not happening this week. These are not the tough luck Lions of the early season that dropped a pair of two-point games to the Ravens and Vikings. Nor are they the spirited side that threw the kitchen sink at the Rams in Los Angeles. Never has a 28-19 loss felt like such a victory. Instead, it is time to recognize the Lions for what they are and always have been—a colossal disappointment.

Detroit is capable of getting frog-stomped every time it takes the field, as it proved in a 44-6 loss to the Eagles last Sunday. Add a 34-11 drubbing from the Bengals, a 24-14 defeat to the Bears, and a 35-17 beat down in Green Bay, and you have a team that has been blown out in all but two games. It might be time to stop holding up those competitive contests as a sign of what the Lions are capable of and treat them as they truly are—outliers.

Just like most of you, we hate this fucking’ Steelers team in 2021 and can’t help but trust that they’re total frauds. However, we have no biases, and therefore, by process of elimination, Pittsburgh is in our sights. Four straight wins for the Steelers look good on paper, but those in the market know that they have struggled to cash tickets with any regularity. The Steelers sport a winning record (5-3) but are just 3-5 against the spread. The Steelers have won their last three games by a combined 10 points, which was capped by last week’s luckfest, ref-aided win over the Bears that had the Twitter universe cursing from the rooftops all across the continent. Trust us, we saw the same crap as everyone else. The Bears outplayed, outgained and out-everythinged Pittsburgh with the Steelers needing 100 calls and 40 bounces to go their way to pull off that horrible win. That prime time showing has the market running to the window to fade the Steelers while we’ll sit back, wait a little longer for the number to deflate a bit more and then move in and pounce.

And pounce we will with the news that Ben Roethlisberger will not start this game due to COVID-19. The injury chasers are out en masse, as this line has come way down from its open. Have these people not seen Big Ben play lately? Dude can't move and dude can't throw. All Ben CAN do is hand the ball off to Najee Harris and hit his tight ends underneath—that's it. Mason Rudolph has already proven he can play a little bit in this league and to be honest, we like this Steelers team better with him. This might be the value play of the day. Act accordingly and if you bet Detroit +9½ or 8 or 7 or 6, it's time to buy back the right side.

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Our Pick

PITTSBURGH -5 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

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