Baltimore @ MIAMI
MIAMI +7 -109 over Baltimore

Pinnacle +7½ -109 BET365 +7½ -110 SportInteraction +7½ -110  BetOnlin+7½ -109 Bookmaker +7½ -110 

Posted at 12:45 PM EST.

MIAMI +7½ -109 over Baltimore

8:20 PM EST. Our usual Thursday Night Football disclaimer applies here. Rarely are we interested in getting caught up in the NFL’s short week cash grab. The games are garbage, the teams are underprepared, and more often than not, there are about 1000 extra variables that we’d rather just not have to worry about. There is a literal smorgasbord of action to be digested on a busy Thursday in mid-November; thus, there is better value with less bullshit to affect the outcome.

With that said, the Ravens are the hottest team in football. Lamar Jackson is the leading MVP candidate at the mid-way point of the season. Dude led the Ravens to another fourth-quarter comeback (his fourth of the season) against the Vikings last Sunday, but that is a situation the Ravens have been in far too much in 2021. When you play with fire, you usually get burned.

If Baltimore’s stock is up, where do we find these Dolphins? Stuck to the scum at the bottom of the fish tank? It wouldn’t be far off. At 2-7, the Fins are dead in the water. With that in mind, we have to wonder why, in a league where double-digit spreads are tossed around like candy, Miami would not be in such a position this week. If the Bills are -12 at the Jets, should the Ravens not be getting similar respect from the oddsmakers?

The seemingly short number here is a big red flag, as we’d argue vehemently that the books could have made the Ravens double-digit chalk and not swayed a bet. Miami hasn’t even named a starting quarterback. Be mindful of picking low-hanging fruit when oddsmakers offer it. That juice often isn’t worth the squeeze.

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Our Pick

MIAMI +7 -109 (Risking 0 units - To Win: 0.00)

Early leans & analysis over