INDIANAPOLIS -10 -103 over N.Y. Jets

Pinnacle -10½ -103 BET365 -10½ -110  SportInteraction -10½ -110 BetOnlin-10½ -109 Bookmaker -10½ -110

Posted at 10:45 AM EST.

INDIANAPOLIS -10½ over N.Y. Jets

8:20 PM EST. First and foremost, resist the temptation to back the Jets here after Mike White put Gang Green on his back and dragged them across the finish line for win #1. As an 11-point pooch to the red hot Bengals, White threw for over 400 yards, scored three touchdowns, and completed better than 80% of his passes. Not bad, kid. However, now that the bright lights are on and white-hot. It’s Mike White’s big debut in front of the football world. What could go wrong?

There have been two quarterbacks to throw for over 400 yards in their debut. One is White; the other doesn’t have a job (Cam Newton). A repeat performance here is unlikely. While it isn’t much, there is now game tape, and if you don’t think Frank Reich and his staff haven’t been up all week picking apart his every move, you don’t know how fucking crazy these coaches are. Regression is almost guaranteed. To say that White played with house money last week might be the understatement of the season. Nobody knew who this dude was last Saturday; now the New York media is calling for him to remain the starter even when #2 overall pick Zach Wilson returns from injury. Like for fucksake, there were over 65,000 success-starved Jets fans chanting White’s name in the Meadowlands. They probably heard it in the city.

What of these Colts? They now sit a full three games back of the AFC South-leading Titans after a 34-31 overtime loss on Sunday. We cannot even begin to describe the tomfoolery that went on in that game, but if you’re looking for a poster boy for “in-game variance,” that one was it. We were bullish on the Colts to start the year, and we still are; they are much better than their three wins would have you believe. In this 17 game season, Indy is not out of it. They are just two games back of a Wild Card spot. What about those division-leading Titans? They may have won the game, but Tennessee lost Derrick Henry to a severe foot injury. Consider the door for the Colts postseason chances wide open, and this is the first step in.

Winning and covering are two different beasts, of course, but we’ll leave you with this. More often than not, these Thursday night games are ugly as fuck. The road side is at a tremendous disadvantage in that they must travel on a short week. The Jets have been a popular fade all season, so the fact they are getting some love coming into this contest is a huge red flag. Dare we say the Jets’ stock is at a season high?

The Colts’ stock is definitely trending downwards, yet oddsmakers still made them significant chalk. This number might look like a big bite to chew, but what would it have been if the Jets got whacked on Sunday like they were supposed to? Take a swig, swallow the points if you are so inclined. We're recommending the Colts, but we'll wait for something we prefer more. No bets


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Our Pick

INDIANAPOLIS -10 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)

Early leans & analysis over