Pinnacle +6 -107 BET365 +6 -110 SportsInteraction +6½ -110 BetOnline +6 -110 Bookmaker +6 -110

N.Y. JETS +6 -107 over New England

Posted at 10:30 AM EST

1:00 PM EST. While the Jets and Patriots are a combined 0-2 after Week 1, who do you think this market is going to trust to bounce back in Week 2?

If you guessed the mighty Pats, you would be most correct. It wasn’t a tough thought exercise, but when oddsmakers posted this number at less than a touchdown, it didn’t take long for the efficient market to pounce. Then you have scumbag pick seller Sean Murphy with this gem:
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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New England minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Lost in the Patriots narrow loss to the Dolphins in a low-scoring home-opener last week was the fact that rookie QB Mac Jones was just fine in his first career NFL start. Jones took care of the football and made all the plays that were asked of him against a challenging opponent in the Miami Dolphins. Here, Jones takes a step down in class against the Jets, who boast one of the league's weakest pass defenses that certainly doesn't get any better after losing a key cog in FS LaMarcus Joyner to injury last week. That wasn't the only key injury suffered by the Jets last Sunday. They'll also have to make do without one of their best players in LT Mekhi Becton. An already weak offensive line gets exponentially worse without Becton. As usual, injuries on the offensive line don't warrant nearly the headlines as those to skill position players. Often, they're equally if not more important, however, and I believe that's the case with Becton. Look for the Pats to make life difficult on rookie QB Zach Wilson who comes off an absolute beatdown at the hands of the Panthers last Sunday. Wilson will make a few splash plays downfield while running for his life in this one, but it won't be enough to keep the Jets competitive. Take New England.

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Let’s break this down point-for-point. First, the Pats get credit for a “narrow loss” because Mac Jones (281 yards, one touchdown) “was just fine” in his first start. Perhaps that was the case, but the same could be said of the Jets and their rookie pivot, Zach Wilson. The Jets’ dropped a five point decision as a four point pooch and Wilson (258 yards, two touchdowns and a pick) too, “was just fine.” Second, Murphy points out the Jets will be missing free safety LaMarcus Joyer and left tackle Mekhi Mecton. This is not privileged information and was no doubt factored into the original line. This is a next man up league and overreactions to injuries in this market are not uncommon.

We also like what we saw from the Jets in the second half of that game. They did not quit after a tough first half and Wilson gave them a shot to cover that number. Now, Gang Green is taking back an inflated price at home in a division game. These are not the same old butt fumbling Jets of the past decade. This appears to be a team headed in the right direction and it would be prudent to get on board the bandwagon before it’s too late. The Jets are grossly undervalued here because their market appeal is nil.  Therefore, now would be the time to invest.

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