Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:45 AM EST
PITTSBURGH -7½ +100 over Philadelphia
1:00 PM EST. The price on the Steelers at most joints is -7 and extra vig but we refuse to spot the extra vig so we're going to sell a half point and take it up to -7½ +100. Most joints will allow you to do that.
These two teams had very different experiences in Week 4. On one side, you have the Eagles, who finally got off the schneid with a 25-20 win on the road in San Francisco on Sunday Night Football. While results are easy to play, Philadelphia was a great bet in that game. They were banged up while the 49ers were getting players back. The entire evening was billed as Nick Mullins’ coming out party, meanwhile, the pitchforks were out for Carson Wentz. In retrospect, it is quite ridiculous that the Eagles were taking back nine points with the superior pivot. If you cashed a ticket on Philly, you made a great bet, but now it’s time to switch gears.
The Steelers were sidelined after the Titans were placed into quarantine with multiple players and staff testing positive for COVID-19. We wish we’d never have to type those letters in that order again, but that is not the reality we live in. This NFL season is a house of cards and whether or not it all comes falling down before a Super Bowl champion can be crowned remains to be seen. In Pittsburgh’s case, it was given an early bye and an extra week to prepare for the injury-plagued Eagles.
This number is a great example to show just how easy it is for a team to be overvalued after a primetime victory. If the Nick Mullens led 49ers were nine-point chalk, how can Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers talented lineup be spotting less? Just to recap. Philadelphia was a 9½-point underdog to a banged up squad with a backup QB. This week, the Eagles will travel again and they’re a smaller price against a better team with a healthy lineup that had an extra week to prepare. Where is the value? It’s not on the 49ers.
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PITTSBURGH -7½ +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)