Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:30 AM EST
CHICAGO +144 over Indianapolis
1:00 PM EST. It’s not often a 3-0 team is hot to make a change at quarterback, but the 2020 Bears are not your average undefeated side. Allow is to break down Chicago's résumé. In Week 1, Chicago needed a gift from the Lions to complete an improbable comeback, outscoring Detroit 21-0 in the fourth quarter and winning the game 27-23.
In Week 2, the Bears barely hung on at home against the putrid Giants. Big Blue had also lost their entire offense (Saquon Barkley) to injury in that game. Believe it or not, the Bears defense got worse when Barkley left the game for good.
Finally, last week in Atlanta, the Bears spotted the Falcons a 26-7 lead after three quarters. Prior to that however, Bears coach Matt Nagy, who had given quarterback Mitch Trubisky just enough rope to hang himself each week, finally let his man dangle and pulled him, perhaps for good, after throwing a third quarter pick. That the Bears wanted to shed themselves of Trubisky isn’t a surprise, as he’s one of the great misfires of this quarterback generation. The most notable thing about him is that the Bears traded up to get him at #2 in 2017, passing on both Patrick Mahomes (#10) and Deshaun Watson (#12). Nick Foles, who has made a living being the saviour off the bench, led the Bears back, but we’re not so sure how much credit the market is giving him. When a team like Atlanta blows a huge lead seemingly every game, one has to wonder if its fate was sealed regardless of who was under center for the Bears. The market is having a very hard time trusting the Bears and we can understand why. A team that has performed so miserably should not be 3-0.
The market has completely forgotten or forgiven the Colts for that 7-point loss to Jacksonville in Week 1 because the Colts won big, BIG, we tell you, the last two weeks. Indy outscored the Jets and Vikes by a combined 64-18 in Week’s 2 and 3 and that resonates much louder than a Week 1 loss to the “Who the Fuck Remembers”. We care because Indy’s stock is high while the Bears stock is lower than any 3-0 team in recent memory.
We should also remind you that the Colts 27-20 loss to Jacksonville was on the road. The past two weeks, the Colts were at home. We should also remind you that Philip Rivers has played three lousy defenses and his numbers are pedestrian at best. Rivers is a turnover machine that may pass for 350 yards on any given Sunday but with that comes two or three picks and a fumble or two. We’re not here to argue whether the Bears have been lucky, good or poor but let’s assume for a second that they have been poor and lucky. One would have to agree then that their performances will get better. Now throw in the confidence and trust they have in their new QB or lack thereof in their old QB and you might see the Bears play 60 full minutes of near flawless football. Either way, Indianapolis is overpriced here and it's only a matter of time before Rivers gives us his poatented WTF performance. Bears outright.
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CHICAGO +144 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.88)