Tampa Bay @ JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE +2½ +112 over Tampa Bay

Pinnacle +2½ +112 Bet365 +2½ +100 SportsInteraction +2½ +102 5DIMES +2½ +100 888Sport +2½ +100

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. 

JACKSONVILLE +2½ +112 over Tampa Bay

1:00 PM EST. When you turn the ball over, as the Buccaneers and specifically quarterback Jameis Winston are apt to do, it makes it really had to cash tickets. Winston has two of the league’s leading receivers at his disposal and he’s racked up 22 touchdown passes and nearly 3400 yards so far this season. That’s good for second place in both of those stat categories. There is a price to pay for those big offensive numbers, however, as Winston is also tops in interceptions with 20. Eight of those have come over the last three games. Those results were mixed with a win, but not cover against the Cardinals in Week 10, a 34-17 blowout loss to the Saints and last week’s 35-22 downing of the Falcons in Atlanta. The Dirty Birds matched turnovers with the Bucs, which negated the crushing effect Winston’s picks can have on his team. Even with all that said, we trust the market will value the Bucs' most recent result the most, which is why this line stinks so much.

The Jaguars are either the sucker bet of the weekend or they’re the best wager on the board in Week 13. Jacksonville got destroyed by the Titans 42-20 and have now been outscored 75-33 since quarterback Nick Foles returned from injury. Remember when Minshew Mania was running wild? That seems like it was years ago, not weeks. Those looking for a return of the rookie pivot may have also forgotten he and these Jags were blown out 26-3 in Houston in Week 9, which means that Jacksonville has lost three straight by double-digits. How the hell are oddsmakers going to hang a number like this and not drive the market to back a Buccaneers team that put up nearly as many points last Sunday as the Jags have in the last month? We trust the books are not leaving themselves exposed on purpose. Tampa is playable because everyone knows they have the talent to win on any given Sunday and to win big while Jacksonville seems to be unplayable right now. This might be the biggest buy low/sell high opportunity on the board this week and we’ll see where the price ends up on Sunday before deciding whether to step in or not.

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Our Pick

JACKSONVILLE +2½ +112 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.24)