San Francisco @ BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE -5½ -105 over San Francisco

Pinnacle -5½ -105 Bet365 - -110 SportsInteraction -5½ -110 5DIMES -5½ -110 888Sport -5½ -110

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. 

BALTIMORE -5½ -105 over San Francisco

1:00 PM EST. The Ravens were heavily bet last week in a stand alone prime time game and they rewarded their backers with a rocking chair classic after running up the score on the Rams in a 45-6 mauling on Monday Night Football. There is no team in the NFL making headlines like Baltimore and Lamar Jackson is getting MVP chants wherever he goes. The Ravens have won seven in a row by a combined 135-26, which means they are scoring at will, while giving up very little in return. We could pour all over the stats, but we’ll leave the gushing to the pick sellers and pundits. However, it looks as though the Ravens are a freight train that is quite frankly, nearly impossible to step in front of.

This looks to be the game of the day, at least in the early slate, as we have two teams coming off huge prime time blow out victories. Let’s now look at the 49ers, who exposed the Packers for the frauds that they are in a 37-8 drubbing. We suspect that win over the now 8-3 Pack is going to hold more weight in this market, as Green Bay was heavily backed on SNF, while NOBODY was on the Rams on Monday night. That suggests to us that the potential for a “zig-zag” is in fact with the ‘Niners.

That San Francisco has shown market appeal as a pooch in this spot was at first a bit of a surprise to be honest, but the 49ers are still 10-1 and in this day in age, many in this market are trying to be “sharp” and a 10-win team is the kind of underdog that is easy to back. It’s not often a dog gets the lion's share of the action and when they do, as the Packers did last week with the late money pouring in, that is not the side we want to be on. In addition to that red flag, we’d also be hesitant to get behind the 49ers here, as Pinnacle, the sharpest book on the planet, opened this line a full point higher than outfits like Sports Interaction and Bet365. Pinny does not mess around, as they deal with high limit players. Perhaps they’re just trying to protect themselves after the market feasted easily with the Ravens on Monday night. Still, the more likely scenario is that they took a stand on this game and wanted all the action on the 49ers they could get before the rest of the market caught up. We’ll see where the money is going on Sunday morning to find out which theory is the correct one. Until then, we’re not going to cross the boss but we are leaning to the chalk and it could very well make our board. In fact, it has made our board.

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Our Pick

BALTIMORE -5½ -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)