Indianapolis @ HOUSTON
HOUSTON -3½ +105 over Indianapolis

Pinnacle -3½ +105 Bet365 -3½ -105 SportsInteraction -3½ -105 5DIMES -3½ -105 888Sport -3½ -105

Posted at 1:45 PM EST. 

HOUSTON -3½ +105 over Indianapolis

8:20 PM EST. Sure the Colts ran the Jaguars off the field last week, but forgive us if we cannot forget that this team lost at home to the Dolphins just two weeks ago. We don't care who the quarterback was or what other players were injured, a real contender does not drop a game like that. The Colts responded to that disappointing result to be sure in that 33-13 route of Jacksonville. Still, that effort didn't do much to suggest to us that they'll be well equipped to travel on a short week and compete with a Texans’ side that suffered its own humiliation last Sunday. The Colts were favored in a similar range against the Jags last week and if we are to believe that home-field advantage is worth three points, then are the Colts, Jags and Texans are all on equal footing? Yes, these two teams have identical 6-4 records and the Colts already beat the Texans once this season, but we're not so sure that assessment is accurate. However, that most recent victory by Indy over Houston in Week 7 is another reason why this market is taking such a stand and backing the Colts, but we just can't recommend such a position. Indy has struggled with the likes of Denver, Pittsburgh and of course, the Dolphins in three of the last four weeks since knocking off the Texans. Meanwhile, Houston beat the Raiders (who defeated the Colts by the way) and also blew out the Jags just as The Blue Horseshoe did.

When you get embarrassed as the Texans did last week in a 41-7 drubbing up in Baltimore, you want nothing more than to get right back on the field, which is why this short week just might benefit Houston. With the Ravens laying waste to just about everything in their path lately, including the Patriots and Seahawks, both of which are regarded by many as contenders in their respective conferences, it might not have been such a surprise that game last Sunday got out of hand. Before his disappointing performance in Baltimore, Deshaun Watson had five touchdowns with no interceptions in consecutive contests against the Jaguars and Raiders, respectively. Texans linebacker Zach Cunningham echoed our thought that this quick turnaround is "good." "You really have no choice but to look on to the next game." If you need proof that the Texans stock is down considerably just look to their Week 5 matchup at home to Atlanta when they were priced in this range. In Week 8, Houston was spotting five points to Oakland. In addition to this spot, we love this number when it comes to backing a favorite. We believe that when oddsmakers hang the "hook" on a key number like three, it encourages the market to back the pooch. When it's a stand-alone, high profile primetime game such as this, that opinion is magnified significantly. Swallow the points.

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Our Pick

HOUSTON -3½ +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)