Detroit @ GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY -3½ +100 over Detroit

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Posted at 12:15 PM EST.

Detroit @ GREEN BAY

8:15 PM EST. Like most of you, we have seen with our own eyes that the Packers have been the luckiest team in the NFL. Like you, we have read or heard how this edition of the Packers are frauds. We’re not here to argue that point for a second because it’s true. Also like you, our first inclination was to take the points with the Lions because there is nothing fraudulent about the Lions. Detroit is 2-1-1 with its only loss coming to the Chiefs (34-30) in a game that had two 14-points swings that worked against Detroit. The Lions could easily by 4-0. Detroit is also coming off its bye so give them two weeks to prepare for this one.

We like the Lions too but what we or anyone else likes matters not. First, we cannot recommend playing a “bad number”. In other words, if you didn’t play the Lions taking back +4½ points, why play them taking back +3½? All week up until Thursday or Friday, one could have gotten +4½ with Detroit and it’s for that reason that we’re going to have to lay off this game. It’s a division game and it’s probably priced right where it should be and we therefore do not see an edge anywhere. For us, that’s a pass. Hold a gun to our head and we’re playing Green Bay -3½ +100.

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Our Pick

GREEN BAY -3½ +100 (Risking 0 units - To Win: 0.00)