Pinnacle -3½ +103 B365 -3½ -105 SportsInteraction -3½ +100 5DIMES  -3½ +100 888Sport  N/A

CAROLINA -3½ +103 over Jacksonville

1:00 PM EST. We're selling a half point in this game and taking the price up to -3½ +103 as opposed to spotting -3 and extra vig.

The Panthers are now 2-0 without the services of quarterback Cam Newton, but his replacement, Kyle Allen, isn't getting the same accolades as other first time starters like Daniel Jones, Kyler Murray and of course Gardner Minshew, but he's no doubt made the Panthers better. It's not like Allen has to do it all himself either, as Carolina features the best running back in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey is tops in the league with 411 rush yards and 629 yards from scrimmage. That second mark is the most by a player in team history through four games and the six most league wide since 2000. "Caff" also leads all running backs with 25 receptions. The reality is, all Allen has to do is feed his running back the ball by any means possible. Allen has pulled his weight too and is just the second quarterback (Carson Wentz is the other) to go 3-0 to start a career and all of those wins came on the road. With the offense sustaining drives under Allen, the Panthers defense has been better the last two weeks as well by racking up 14 sacks and when defending the pass this season. This unit has held the opposition to just 156.8 net passing yards per game.

Minshew mania hit the Mile High City last week, as the Jaguars completed an improbable comeback after going down 17-3 with about four minutes to go in the second quarter. We're not sure if the still winless Broncos took their foot off the gas, or maybe they got a little too high on that sweet mountain air, but either way, the Jaguars outscored them 20-7 in the second half. Minshew continues to get all the press, including the AFC Offensive Rookie of the Month award, but it was running back Leonard Fournette, who gashed the Broncos defense for 225 yards. It was an impressive win to be sure, but there were some big red flags as well. The Jags offensive line was abused by the Broncos and gave up five sacks. If Minshew is hit like that again this week, he'll be picking his famous mustache off the turf. The Jags stock is on the rise after two straight wins and they are going to look like a solid play taking back a price here again this week, but consider this: Denver was 3½ over the Jags last week and had them by the throat. Should the Panthers be the exact same price at home as the 0-4 Broncs? We think not, thus that’s where we find the value here. Swallow the points.

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